Preseason Rankings
South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#307
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.4#128
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#264
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#317
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 11.6% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.0 15.6
.500 or above 30.8% 62.9% 29.4%
.500 or above in Conference 46.0% 70.5% 44.9%
Conference Champion 4.5% 10.4% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.0% 1.2% 7.2%
First Four1.9% 2.8% 1.9%
First Round3.2% 9.9% 2.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Furman (Away) - 4.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 410 - 911 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 83   @ Furman L 65-83 4%    
  Dec 02, 2020 211   Eastern Kentucky L 81-83 42%    
  Dec 05, 2020 293   NC Central W 72-70 57%    
  Dec 12, 2020 124   Winthrop L 76-84 24%    
  Dec 13, 2020 124   Winthrop L 76-84 24%    
  Dec 15, 2020 84   @ UNC Greensboro L 64-82 5%    
  Dec 22, 2020 20   @ Tennessee L 58-84 1%    
  Dec 30, 2020 314   @ High Point L 71-73 44%    
  Dec 31, 2020 314   @ High Point L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 04, 2021 320   Longwood W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 05, 2021 320   Longwood W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 09, 2021 341   @ Presbyterian W 75-71 65%    
  Jan 10, 2021 341   @ Presbyterian W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 14, 2021 321   Hampton W 83-78 67%    
  Jan 15, 2021 321   Hampton W 83-78 67%    
  Jan 19, 2021 280   @ Charleston Southern L 70-75 35%    
  Jan 20, 2021 280   @ Charleston Southern L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 24, 2021 247   Gardner-Webb L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 25, 2021 247   Gardner-Webb L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 29, 2021 270   @ Radford L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 30, 2021 270   @ Radford L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 04, 2021 226   UNC Asheville L 78-80 45%    
  Feb 05, 2021 226   UNC Asheville L 78-80 45%    
  Feb 18, 2021 258   @ Campbell L 68-74 32%    
  Feb 19, 2021 258   @ Campbell L 68-74 32%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.3 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.2 3.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.7 2.8 0.7 0.1 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.8 2.4 0.6 0.1 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 4.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.1 3.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.3 1.9 0.6 0.1 6.8 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 4.2 11th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.8 4.3 6.6 7.6 9.0 10.6 10.6 10.1 9.4 7.8 6.6 5.2 3.1 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 99.1% 0.5    0.4 0.1
17-3 80.4% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0
16-4 59.5% 1.2    0.7 0.5 0.0 0.0
15-5 28.5% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 12.3% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 38.1% 38.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 46.9% 46.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 36.0% 36.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.0% 29.4% 29.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
16-4 2.1% 22.2% 22.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.6
15-5 3.1% 14.8% 14.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.7
14-6 5.2% 13.7% 13.7% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 4.5
13-7 6.6% 7.7% 7.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 6.1
12-8 7.8% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 7.3
11-9 9.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.0
10-10 10.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 9.8
9-11 10.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.4
8-12 10.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.5
7-13 9.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.9
6-14 7.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.6
5-15 6.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.6
4-16 4.3% 4.3
3-17 2.8% 2.8
2-18 1.6% 1.6
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.8 95.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%